Bellwether

Listen to Seth Keshel, a brilliant data scientist and former Army Intelligence Officer, explains what a bellwether is and why it’s one of the predictability measures for Presidential election.

19 counties have aligned themselves perfectly without fail since 1980 with the winner of every Presidential election. Including:

  • Vigo County, IN (accurate since 1956
  • Valencia County, NM (accurate since 1952)
  • 4 key counties in Wisconsin (2 of which have been accurate since 1960)

In the 2020 election, Donald Trump won 18 of the 19 bellwether counties AND 4 bellwether states (OH, IN, FL & NC) that have been 100% accurate since 1896.

Author: Shawn

"The burden of suffering seems a tombstone hung about our necks, while in reality it is only a weight which is necessary to keep down the diver while he is hunting for pearls" Jean Paul Richter

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out /  Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out /  Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out /  Change )

Connecting to %s