Bellwether

Listen to Seth Keshel, a brilliant data scientist and former Army Intelligence Officer, explains what a bellwether is and why it’s one of the predictability measures for Presidential election.

19 counties have aligned themselves perfectly without fail since 1980 with the winner of every Presidential election. Including:

  • Vigo County, IN (accurate since 1956
  • Valencia County, NM (accurate since 1952)
  • 4 key counties in Wisconsin (2 of which have been accurate since 1960)

In the 2020 election, Donald Trump won 18 of the 19 bellwether counties AND 4 bellwether states (OH, IN, FL & NC) that have been 100% accurate since 1896.

Author: Shawn

"The burden of suffering seems a tombstone hung about our necks, while in reality it is only a weight which is necessary to keep down the diver while he is hunting for pearls" Jean Paul Richter

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